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As Trump targets China, EU and China open EV tariff negotiations

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EU, China Talk EV Tariffs as US Ups Trade Pressure

The European Union and China recently opened discussions that could change the way Chinese electric vehicles (EVs) are sold in international markets. As reported by Reuters quoting Germany’s Handelsblatt newspaper, the discussions are intended to consider replacing the EU’s prescribed portion of the tariff regime with some form of new pricing regime for imported Chinese EVs, possibly involving a minimum price planteau to be established for imported Chinese EVs.

This diplomatic maneuvering takes place within the context of the aggressive trade policies of former U.S. President Donald Trump, especially toward China. His most recent policy actions — namely, the announcement of a three-month suspension of reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China — have contributed to and indirectly influenced global trade patterns. While Chinese automakers confront high trade barriers in the United States, many have turned their focus more sharply toward Europe. Since the end of 2023, Chinese car brands have continued to gain a foothold in the EU market despite heavy tariffs of up to 45.3% being imposed on them.

The talks were confirmed by an EU spokesperson and included EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic and Chinese Commerce Minister Wang Wentao. In the last day both diplomats have allegedly expressed a willingness to explore the feasibility of applying a price floor to Chinese EVs exported to the EU. Although still early in the process, the aim is to put in place a system that preserves the protective capability of existing tariffs but provides a more predictable if less confrontational alternative for long-term trade stability.

China’s Commerce Ministry had also confirmed the talks, saying relevant negotiations would begin immediately. The urgency on both sides reflects a growing recognition of how interdependent the EU and China are in the world of electric cars. With climate goals driving the transition toward clean transportation, both regions realize that a collaborative approach is far better than an unfolding trade war.

The current EU tariff regime, which went into effect in October 2023, was established to counter what European officials called pricing advantages Chinese automakers obtained through state subsidies. But Beijing’s retaliatory response has not been overlooked, either, such as its move to impose tariffs on high-value European exports such as French cognac. Those actions, in turn, have raised alarm among EU member states and major industries that are now feeling the pinch from reciprocal trade moves.

This is all because Commissioner Sefcovic has made clear that any alternative will need to be as effective as tariffs in gaining the desired outcome: a level playing field. That means seeking to ensure that Chinese EVs are not being sold below fair market value to the point at which they undercut European manufacturers. A price floor-based system could provide a more transparent and verifiable solution, where Chinese automakers would have a clear standard to target and European regulators would have simpler tools to monitor compliance.

Trump’s newfound push to isolate China economically further complicates the trade climate. His focused campaign is upending trade routes and redefining the calculus for global manufacturers. Chinese vehicle exports to the U.S. are tiny compared with their production, and Trump’s tariff escalation has effectively made the American market off-limits to many Chinese brands. In reaction, some automakers like BYD, SAIC and Geely have ramped up their European strategies, bringing new models and increasing dealership networks to meet an expanding appetite across the continent.

Trade experts say that this shift in focus is a textbook case of trade diversion. As one market puts up high walls, the exporters start looking for more open doors. Electric vehicle (EV) players are eying Europe as the latest battleground to claim the victory of electric supremacy, with more affordable licensing and a heavy population looking to switch. European officials, however, are under pressure to protect their own automotive industry, too, as it shifts from internal combustion to electric propulsion.

For the Chinese, the price floor model in mind is mathematically promising. It adds predictability to their business in Europe, helping manufacturers to plan pricing, production and market entry strategies more effectively. Unlike tariffs, which can be lifted or re-established at will in geopolitics, a price floor sets a more definitive long-term path. It also indicates that Europe is willing to consider negotiated solutions instead of blunt-force protectionism, at least in the face of tensions.

More broadly, if these talks culminate in a deal, it could signal the start of a more sophisticated, strategic kind of economic engagement between Europe and China, one driven by as much mutual interest as rivalry. The U.S. position under Trump, by contrast, is pushing toward decoupling, a position that could further isolate American consumers from cheaper EV options and strengthen alternative trade alliances.

Success in the negotiations between the EU and China could also provide a template for similar disputes across industries to be resolved. For now, what is certain is that in the new global competition for EV supremacy, diplomacy, economic strategy and policy coordination are proving to be as decisive as innovation and manufacturing scale.

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Sourabh Gupta

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Electric vehicle registrations surge 17% to nearly 2 million

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EV Registrations Hit 2 Million with 17% Growth

Electric vehicle (EV) registrations in the country have seen a significant surge, with total registrations crossing the nearly 1.97 million (1,966,025) mark in the financial year, a YoY increase of 17% over the 1.68 million (1,682,312) units recorded the previous financial year. This trend demonstrates the ongoing momentum for EV adoption nationwide, with the two-wheeler and three-wheeler categories remaining the most active segments in this transition.

Out of all EV categories, electric two-wheelers lead the charge in switching to sustainable mobility even this year. 1.15 million of these registrations were delivered to this segment, growing by strong 21% y/y. The EV two-wheeler segment now makes up of over 6% of the total two-wheeler market-share in India. Several previous reasons accounted for this surge, from affordable models to growing consumer awareness and aggressive competition between legacy and new-age manufacturers.

Manufacturers like Bajaj Auto, TVS Motor Company, and Hero MotoCorp stepped up efforts in the electric two-wheeler space, introducing new models and investing in faster production capabilities to meet the growing demand. Their efforts, along with the price of petrol and environmentalism, have boosted the appeal of electric scooters and motorcycles for daily commuters and city riders.

Electrics cars and SUVs, which make up the passenger vehicle segment, were also high flyers. More than 100,000 electric passenger vehicles were registered during the financial year, up 18.2% on the previous year. While EVs made up only roughly 3% of the total passenger vehicle market at the time, the segment is growing steadily, with many manufacturers jumping into the fray.

After strong sales numbers in previous months, Tata Motors kept its lead in the EV passenger vehicles segment as the brand scored a massive market share in October 2023. JSW MG Motor India came in at number two with Hyundai and Mahindra & Mahindra entering the fray in the EV space with new electric car offerings over the course of the year. Several other carmakers are also gearing up to enter the EV space soon — these include Maruti Suzuki, Toyota, Renault, Volkswagen, Honda, Skoda and Nissan. Their inclusion will only expand the region of the EV landscape and help make electric cars available to more consumers.

Electric three-wheelers, on the other hand, witnessed around 700,000 units of registrations in the 2022-23 fiscal year, which meant a year-on-year growth of 11 percent. This means that 57.42% of total registered three-wheelers in India are now EVs, thus making it the most electrified segment of India’s transport ecosystem. They are particularly popular with small business owners and last-mile delivery operators, who favour electric rickshaws and cargo vehicles for their lower operating costs coupled with greater availability.

Few would have imagined that four years later, it would be the case, with even two-wheeler sales doing some serious heavy lifting to achieve this impressive growth — not that it is all down to the Indian government’s response to the high prices of fuel and crude oil. Recent policy intervention like the Electric Mobility Promotion Scheme (EMPS), the subsequent PM EDRIVE and PM e-Sewa initiatives were vital in driving the EV adoption according to the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM). These policies aim to stimulate the domestic EV industry with benefits, subsidies, and infrastructure development, which lower the net cost of ownership and encourage the large-scale adoption of electric vehicles.

As the market matures, the transition towards electrification in India is likely to further accelerate. Automakers are then adapting their strategies to match that trend, pouring money into new technologies, stretching out their EV portfolios. The EV ecosystem is being fortified in parallel with battery manufacturing, charging infrastructure, and recycling solutions.

The way consumers are also changing, with a lot of them realizing that electric mobility is a long term proposition. EVs have also become an attractive individual and commercial alternative to other vehicles, offering better driving ranges, faster charging times, and lower maintenance costs than before.

Though hampered by certain drawbacks, such as the scarcity of charging stations and the higher costs of acquisition, the electric vehicle segment in India appears to be maturing. Thanks to stable policy support, increasing competition, and greater awareness, EVs are slowly but surely transitioning from niche to mainstream.

This increase in EV registrations sends a strong message and reinforces the fact that India is on the right path towards achieving its green mobility targets. The way forward entails continued coordination between the government, the private sector, and consumers to develop a strong and sustainable electric mobility ecosystem that addresses the nation’s environmental, economic, and energy security goals.

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Sourabh Gupta

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EV adoption poses a financial risk for India’s leading automakers, power grid needs a reboot: Imperial College study

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EV shift may strain automakers, grid: Study

The rapid proliferation of electric vehicles on Indian roads is likely to cause massive financial stress on the country’s top carmakers and place a significant burden on the country’s electricity grid, a study by Imperial College Business School, London, has found. From a wider perspective, the study analyzes ever-bigger-picture implications of India’s pivot to battery electric vehicles (BEVs), reporting that the ramifications are about so much more than just the auto industry.

That means if, by that time, EV sales with upto 25% of all vehicles sold in India (this year it’s around ~8%) automakers who continue to rely on Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) vehicles for profits could be at serious risk. This change by Tata Motors would be benefitting the EV maker owing to their stronghold in the electric vehicle market. However, Mahindra & Mahindra, which has a minor EV market share, might be less impacted. Maruti Suzuki, the country’s biggest carmaker, is likely to be most exposed if it doesn’t move aggressively into the electric vehicle market. Maruti Suzuki has yet to sell EVs, despite plans to lead the way in EV production and exports.

On the energy side, while increased EV adoption could drive an overall demand increase of up 60% in terms of electricity, they would also require a tremendous amount of upgrades to the power grid. So if India were to fulfil this higher demand by producing more coal-based electricity, some of the climate benefits of adopting EVs would be nullified. “One way to avoid that,” energy utilities will be required to invest heavily in renewable energy and modernizing the grid. The report raises one big concern about the grid possibly getting overloaded if proper planning isn’t undertaken. To mitigate this, time-of-use tariffs may be required to encourage EV charging during off-peak hours.

By 2030, the researchers estimate India will need to establish 6.7 million new charging points to meet the demand. Such an effort would demand substantial investments from the government and private sector. Public charging infrastructure in India is currently quite limited, with only around 2,000 stations available around mid-2022. By contrast, China trumped the rest of the world with a much stronger public charging infrastructure, which has had a huge impact on EV market adoption around there.

The report highlights a World Bank analysis that found developing charging infrastructure is four to seven times more effective than providing purchase subsidies in increasing EV uptake. Subsidies have also been a major factor behind EV adoption in wealthier countries but in India they mostly serve the middle and upper-middle classes, who are the main buyers of electric four-wheelers.

“If we want to procure electric vehicle market share and invest in charging infrastructure, offering sustainability-linked (financial) instruments — like bonds linked to environmental targets — is one way to incentivize (automakers) to improve market share,” the researchers said. That can mean lower interest rates for a company if it increases sales of EVs or tighter repayment terms if it misses infrastructure targets. Such an approach might also bring the auto industry’s profit motives more in line with the goal of cutting carbon emissions.

India’s EV story is also unique because of its vehicle mix. Most of the market is taken up by two- and three-wheelers using smaller batteries that can be charged with regular AC power. In contrast, for four-wheelers, different chargers may be needed like single-phase as well as three-phase AC chargers based on the battery size and onboard charging equipment of the vehicle. This diversity in requisites makes India’s EV infrastructure rollout more complicated.

An important consideration, is the electricity source that is used to recharge these vehicled. In such countries as Norway, where nearly all of electricity comes from hydroelectric sources, the environmental upside to EVs is easy to see. In India, however, a large share of electricity is still produced in coal-fired power plants. This would reduce emissions from the tailpipe in big cities, but at the generation level it might keep adding to pollution. Even so, cutting oil imports and advancing domestic EV production could continue to produce both economic and strategic dividends.

There is also concern about India’s reliance on buying raw materials for EV batteries from abroad. Lithium, cobalt, and nickel are all part of a global supply chain that’s concentrated in a relatively small group of countries — Chile, Argentina, Bolivia, Australia and China supply most of the world’s lithium. Other critical elements are dug mostly in the Congo and Indonesia. India has a very low presence in this value chain and is therefore, highly dependent on imports. The demand for lithium-ion batteries are projected to expand at a rate of greater that 30% per year, meaning that the demand for lithium will exceed 50,000 tonnes by 2030. Although alternative battery technologies are being developed, it is still uncertain whether they could be brought to market on any large scale.

India therefore has an important opportunity window where EV push could significantly reduce its carbon footprint, concludes the report. But achieving this will be heavily reliant on coordinated policy action, investment in renewables, and an expansion of charging infrastructure and smart financial tools that can reward green innovation.

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Sourabh Gupta

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Kia Syros EV in the works: Report

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Kia Syros EV Likely to Join Lineup Soon

Kia Motors Building Battery-Electric Models For The Indian Market. The Japanese automaker is also believed to be working on a fully electric iteration of the Syros, which has recently created a strong impression in the Indian market in terms of its internal combustion engine form, according to industry sources and media reports. Kia’s move is strategically aimed at taking a big share of the growing EV segment and providing a mass market electric vehicle to the customers in India.

India, however, does not have a Kia electric vehicle tailored for the mass market, even as the company has found success globally with models such as the EV6. But the Syros EV appears to be Kia’s first big move to reverse that trend, capitalizing on the growing popularity of the Syros moniker and merging it with electrified travel. It is being reported that the Syros EV should debut sometime in 2026 and should be the cheapest electric vehicle in the firm’s Indian product lineup.

The electric Syros is underpinned by the same E-GMP platform which is used for the Kia Carens EV (to be launched in India). Both cars is likely to share the same platform – Hyundai’s K2 platform, which also supports popular models such as the Hyundai Creta and upcoming Creta EV. This flexible platform enables Kia to conveniently modify its current models to be electric, without exorbitant development costs, nor harming the quality and performance people expect from Kia.

As for design, we can expect the Syros EV to look almost identical to its ICE counterpart, except for minor changes that will distinguish it as an electric car. It’s likely to feature a sealed-off grille, different bumpers, and perhaps unique alloys or EV badging. These visual adjustments both improve the vehicle’s aerodynamic efficiencies while giving the electric vehicle a recognizable aesthetic commonly associated with it. That said, the overall styling should look familiar to customers who are already familiar with the Syros design.

The cabin of the Syros EV will be mostly the same as the petrol car, albeit with an altered layout and features. This suggests that buyers should get a digital instrument cluster, a touchscreen infotainment system with smartphone connectivity, and possibly a touchpad interface for the climate controls. The idea seems to give buyers within a pure-fuel market, a nice transition to Evs with all the tech and user-friendly bells and whistles.

The Syros EV also maintains a strong safety focus. While the ICE trimmed Syros recently received a five-star safety rating from Bharat NCAP, Kia is likely to match or better these safety standards in the future electric version. Safety kit is also likely to include multiple airbags, ABS along with EBD, a tyre pressure monitoring system, ISOFIX mounts for child seats, vehicle stability management and a comprehensive traction control system. Standard front and rear parking sensors will further improve urben driving confidence too.

Performance-wise, the Syros EV may borrow its electric powertrain from the Carens EV. While official specs have yet to be detailed, expect a front-driven electric motor to be combined with a lithium-ion battery powerful enough to provide a suitably practical driving range. Industry experts say range could be between 300 to 400 kilometers on a single charge — enough for daily commutes as well as the occasional long drive. That would make the Syros EV a potent contender in its class, especially for urban families in search of an electric SUV that’s reliable and economical.

Charging capabilities will likely also be in line with market expectations. Kia might provide both AC and DC quick charging and public fast charging could potentially charge the battery to a reasonable level in less than one hour. Other design elements could improve driving dynamics and energy efficiency, like regenerative braking and multiple driving modes.

The development of the Syros EV by Kia is indicative of both the growing demand for electric vehicles in India and the changing consumer preferences towards these sustainable mobility options. Kia’s clearly aiming for a broad audience by twisting a widely-appealing nameplate into an electric version and doing its utmost to ensure it’s affordable, well-specified and safe. Syros EV Performance & Range Before you miss out on anything, the success of the Syros EV may just be the tip of the iceberg with an India lineup of more EVs on the way and a reinforced position for the brand in the trickling Indian automotive space.

The Syros EV might be a while away from hitting the market, but growing interest in its development suggests that Kia means business in the EV world. If anything, in the coming months as more details are revealed, the Syros EV might just be the game changer in India’s affordable EV segment.

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Sourabh Gupta

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